Selected publications/pre-prints

• Brill, RS, Yurko, R, and Wyner, AJ. “Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of fourth-down decision making.” In submission, 2023+.
  • arXiv
    
  • talk, slides at NESSIS 2023
    
    
• Brill, RS and Wyner, AJ. “Introducing Grid WAR: rethinking WAR for starting pitchers.” Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2024.
  • JQAS
  • arXiv
  • talk, slides at SABR 2024
  • Grid WAR Standings at gridwar.xyz
    
    
• Brill, RS and Wyner, AJ. “The Winner of the NFL Draft is Not Necessarily Cursed.”
  • [paper]() coming soon
  • [talk]() coming soon, slides at CMSAC 2024
    
    
• Brill, RS, Deshpande, SK, and Wyner, AJ. “A Bayesian analysis of the time through the order penalty in baseball.” Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2023.
  • JQAS
  • arXiv
    
    

More papers

• NFL Big Data Bowl 2022 Finalist: Optimal Run Path for Kick Returners

• Predicting the Quarterback-MVP

• Deriving the Black-Scholes Formula

• Some statistics in sports papers that I enjoy

• Statistics via Sports