Selected publications/pre-prints

  • Brill, R.S., Yurko, R., and Wyner, A.J. (2023+). “Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of fourth down decision-making.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.03490 (in submission).
  • Brill, R.S. and Wyner, A.J. (2022+). “Introducing Grid WAR: Rethinking WAR for Starting Pitchers.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.07274 (in submission).
  • Brill, R.S., Deshpande, S.K., and Wyner, A.J. (2023). “A Bayesian analysis of the time through the order penalty in baseball.” Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.

More papers


“The world needs to know you can’t just toss AI at data and pray.”