Selected publications/pre-prints

• Brill, R.S., Yurko, R., and Wyner, A.J. (2023+). “Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of fourth down decision-making.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.03490 (in submission).
  • arXiv
    
  • talk, slides at NESSIS 2023
    
    
• Brill, R.S. and Wyner, A.J. (2022+). “Introducing Grid WAR: Rethinking WAR for Starting Pitchers.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.07274 (in submission).
  • arXiv
  • talk, slides at SABR 2024
  • Grid WAR Standings at gridwar.xyz
    
    
• Brill, R.S., Deshpande, S.K., and Wyner, A.J. (2023). “A Bayesian analysis of the time through the order penalty in baseball.” Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.
  • JQAS
  • arXiv
    

More papers

• NFL Big Data Bowl 2022 Finalist: Optimal Run Path for Kick Returners

• Predicting the Quarterback-MVP

• Deriving the Black-Scholes Formula

• Some statistics in sports papers that I enjoy

• Statistics via Sports